Free MLB Picks & Predictions - Today's Best Expert MLB Bets (2024)

The Toronto starter is projected for 1.39 walks making this a 60% winner at great plus odds. His strikeout stuff has not been there this year but his control is fine and he comes into tonight's matchup 4-1 to the Under on this prop over his last five games. Caesars is as short as -115 and this projects as one of the best +EV plays from the Covers' prop projections powered by THE BAT. This has been one of the softest MLB prop markets available.

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Josh Inglis - Pick Made 2 hrs, 51 min ago.

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Hayes is mired in an ugly slump. The Gold Glove winner is hitting just .130 with a .331 OPS over his last 14 games. To make matters worse, Hayes will not be happy to see Greene in this matchup. Hayes is just 1-for-9 with four strikeouts in his career vs. Greene. He's also gone hitless in seven of his last 14 games, including four of the last five. In this matchup, at this price, he looks like a great bet to have another 0-fer.

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Andrew Caley - Pick Made 26 min ago.

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This was +128 at 8 am this morning but there is still some value on this at +112 and +110.Projects as a coin toss at 4.6 projected Ks but I dislike Peterson more than THE BAT. This is a tough matchup in tough conditions with some heat and wind blowing out. He threw 100 pitches in his last start which was 14 more than his previous season-high. He could go 85 pitches today. He had six Ks over 16+ innings in his first three starts of the season. Pinnacle is at -103. The Mets also have a full bullpen after a day off yesterday.

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Josh Inglis - Pick Made 2 hrs, 42 min ago.

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Brandon Nimmo has typically been the Mets leadoff man in parts of nine years with the team, but he's found a home at No. 2 while flip-flopping with Francisco Lindor. He's hitting .324 this month and has clubbed four homers in his last six games. He's also been part of many a productive inning of late, as he's crossed the plate at least once in nine of his last 10 overall. That's why I can't figure out why I'm getting this good a price on Nimmo to score a run tonight, but I won't look a gift horse in the mouth.

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Robert Criscola - Pick Made 2 hrs, 8 min ago.

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Rohit Ponnaiya - Pick Made 3 hrs, 26 min ago.

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Lugo leads the AL with 10 wins with a solid 2.42 ERA and I like his chances to get No. 11 tonight. Miami has scored the fewest runs in the NL and ranks 18th in batting average and 28th in OPS and wRC+ when facing right-handers this season. The Marlins counter Lugo with little used Yonny Chirinos. The 30-year-old right-hander is making his second start of the season. Chirinos has spent most of his time in the minor leagues since 2021. He’s pitched in 23 games (11 starts) since 2022, pitching to a 4.92 ERA and a 1.38 WHIP during that period. The scrappy Royals should put together some runs here and get their starter the win.

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Andrew Caley - Pick Made 21 min ago.

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Lugo leads the AL with 10 wins with a solid 2.42 ERA and I like his chances to get No. 11 tonight. Miami has scored the fewest runs in the NL and ranks 18th in batting average and 28th in OPS and wRC+ when facing right-handers this season. The Marlins counter Lugo with little used Yonny Chirinos. The 30-year-old right-hander is making his second start of the season. Chirinos has spent most of his time in the minor leagues since 2021. He’s pitched in 23 games (11 starts) since 2022, pitching to a 4.92 ERA and a 1.38 WHIP during that period. The scrappy Royals should put together some runs here and get their starter the win.

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Andrew Caley - Pick Made 21 min ago.

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Since returning on June 4, Royce Lewis has been one of the best bats in baseball. In 17 games this month, Lewis is slashing .328/.397/.797 with nine dingers and 12 extra-base hits. He’s averaging three total bases per game and hasn’t shown any signs of slowing down with three homers in his last six games. His explosive pace should continue against Arizona and right-handed pitcher Brandon Pfaadt. The second-year starter has given up 85 hits and 11 home runs across 90 2/3 innings and has allowed at least five hits (with five homers) in each of his last five starts.

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Rob Paul - Pick Made 4 hrs, 47 min ago.

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Abrams is one of the hottest hitters in baseball right now.He has four multi-hit games in his last five, good for a .478 average and 1.283 OPS, which includes five extra-base hits.That has made Abrams a total bases machine. He’s gone Over 1.5 total bases in four of his last five and 11 times during his last 15 games. He gets a good matchup against San Diego Padres prospect Adam Mazur who is making just his fifth career start and is pitching to a5.25 xERA while surrendering .269 xBA.

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Andrew Caley - Pick Made 17 min ago.

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San Francisco sports a 5.88 ERA and 1.53 WHIP from the bullpen across the 10 games after posting 4.17 and 1.28 marks to start the season. The gap in the underlying xFIP (3.80 from 3.59) isn’t as drastic, but opposing hitters are also up to a .279 batting average and 3.69 walks per nine over the past 10, compared to respective .241 and 3.12 numbers to start the year. Simply put, I’m anticipating theChicago Cubsdoing damage against an overworked and struggling collection of San Fran relievers. The other part of the equation is Cubs starterKyle Hendricks, who enters tonight sporting a 7.46 ERA, 1.58 WHIP, and 4.09 xFIP for the season. Despite allowing just one earned run over 5 2/3 innings in his last start against the Giants, the right-hander's smoke-and-mirrors pitch arsenal doesn’t feature the swing-and-miss mix to sneak up on them in consecutive games.

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Neil Parker - Pick Made 10 min ago.

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